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Does 2011 offer a hint about Bill Belichick's interest in Cam Newton? Plus, notes on the QB market, the Patriots' latest penalties, Colin Kaepernick's Netflix doc and Johnny Manziel's comments.
Camp opens for most teams a month from yesterday. Or at least it’s supposed to. Here’s what we’ve got for you this afternoon. …
• Someone who has worked in New England made a pretty interesting point to me about
the Cam Newton signing, as it relates to Bill Belichick’s brand of logic. He told me that in 2011, Belichick told everyone that the one thing that would kill the team early on, post-lockout, was being out of shape, and giving up big plays as a result of it. This guy then said, regarding Newton, “So what better way to pressure on a tired defense than have Cam back there?” And then there’s this—if the Patriots feel like they needed to be a little simpler to play fast on offense, Newton can facilitate that in allowing New England to build more off its run game. Now, I think the primary reason to sign here is giving yourself multiple shots at getting the quarterback position right, post-Tom Brady, and the signing absolutely fits Belichick’s pattern of buying low on prodigious talents (Randy Moss, Corey Dillon, Chad Ochocinco, Albert Haynesworth, etc., etc.) But the stuff specific to 2011 sure is a nice side benefit.• I also think the contract terms Newton agreed to say more about this offseason than anything else. Spending is always craziest over the first wave of free agency. After that, there were a pretty high number of high-profile quarterbacks available—Andy Dalton, Joe Flacco and Jameis Winston among them—who were waiting for a market out that never heated back up for them. Guys like Teddy Bridgewater, Nick Foles and even Chase Daniel benefitted from coming off the market early on, while the market was hot. After that, the reality became clear, and that’s that for the first time in forever quarterback supply overwhelmed quarterback demand.
• One addendum to my MMQB take on the Patriots’ penalties for their media crew videotaping the Bengals’ sideline—that third-round pick they lost is significant, and because of more than just the blown draft capital. New England was cooperative and apologetic about the violation, but had hoped it would be assessed as a non-football misstep. The inclusion of the draft-pick penalty is the NFL implicitly holding Patriots football ops accountable.
• With the NFL football ops tweeting out July 28 as the start date for training camp, it’s worth noting that the Chiefs and Texans open earlier—the rule under the new CBA is teams can start 47 days before their opener. Since Houston and Kansas City are playing in the kickoff game, both will start camp on July 25. The Texans are welcoming in their rookies on July 18, and have the quarterbacks coming in on July 20. Chiefs QBs and rookies report on the 22nd.
• I’d love more from Colin Kaepernick on 2015-17 in his new Netflix doc, but it doesn’t sound like that’s going to be a part of it. He’s got an executive producer credit in the announcement, which means if he wants to keep that stuff out of there, that stuff will be kept out of there.
• Johnny Manziel told the Lubbock Avalanche-Journal that, for him, he views football as “in the past.” And that’s too bad. It’s been lost in the mess his life became, but Manziel was electric as a player and competitor, and he’s still just 27 years old. Because he was such a unique player, I always thought Doug Flutie was a good comp for him. It’s a shame we never really saw what he might’ve become over time.
• Bucs LB Shaq Barrett told SiriusXM radio Monday that he plans to sign his franchise tender if he doesn’t get a long-term deal by the July 15 deadline, and that raised an interesting X-factor for the others tagged but still unsigned—Bengals WR A.J. Green, Chiefs DT Chris Jones, Jaguars DE Yannick Ngaukoe and Broncos S Justin Simmons. Given all of the COVID-related issues, would it make sense for those guys to stay away until Week 1 to avoid getting infected, or being around those who come in with the virus? I think it’s a sort of interesting question, given the likelihood that some teams will have a significant number of cases through training.
• While we’re there, I thought Eagles OT Lane Johnson explained what players will be facing next month well: “Ultimately, it’s a risk that we’re all willing to take to go outside your house or whatever you’re doing, going shopping. I’ve been doing a pretty good job of staying in the house, doing my social distancing protocols. Yeah, with everybody it’s going to be a risk that we’re going to have to take and see what happens.” Really, it’s not unlike what many in America are facing (without the risk of having to physically run into your co-workers over and over again, of course).
• Just to update something we’ve been keeping an eye on, five of the NFL’s 32 first-round picks have signed. Last year at this juncture, 26 had signed. And there are veterans who still haven’t actually signed their deals either, because they can’t take physicals yet. Which, as you might imagine, has led some to be very careful about how they’re working out ahead of camp.
• All the best to long-time agent Paul Sheehy and his family. Per long-time Broncos beat man Mike Klis, Sheehy is battling COVID-19 and has been on a ventilator on Friday, which is another reminder of the seriousness of the virus, and the fact that we’re not nearly out of the woods with it yet as a country.
• Question or comment? Email us.
SI Fantasy & Gambling analyst Ben Heisler takes a look at how Cam Newton’s skill set will factor in with New England's offense.
In a move that
felt for weeks like the worst kept secret in the National Football League, the New England Patriots have solidified their quarterback position by signing free agent Cam Newton to a one-year deal.According to ESPN’s Adam Schefter and Chris Mortensen, the contract is a highly incentivized one-year deal. NFL Network’s Ian Rapoport says the deal can reach as high as $7.5 million in 2020.
While the signing of Newton does not guarantee the starting quarterback spot, if the 31-year old former MVP is healthy coming off multiple leg and shoulder surgeries, it would make little to no sense to even bring him in.
Back on March 21, SI Gambling analyst Frankie Taddeo wrote about the betting market available for Cam Newton’s next landing spot. Sure enough, his call on the Patriots at odds of +340 turned out to be right on the money.
After the Panthers released Newton and the Patriots did not select a QB in the 2020 draft, the likelihood of Newton arriving in Foxboro became far more likely.
His likely top competitor for the starting gig is Jarrett Stidham, a fourth-round pick in 2019 who, like Newton, also played at Auburn. He threw only four passes his rookie season, leaving fantasy owners perplexed that the Patriots would even remotely consider him as the Week 1 starter.
Additionally, Patriots head coach Bill Belichick has thought highly of Newton’s talent and skillset for years.
Newton missed the final two games of the 2018 season with a shoulder injury that had likely been bothering him since Week 8 of the season. Despite fighting through pain, Newton was excellent from Weeks 1-12, throwing for 2,699 passing yards and 22 TDs, while rushing for 417 yards and four TDs.
Up until the final quarter of the season, Newton was actually the QB4 in fantasy behind only Patrick Mahomes (NFL MVP), Drew Brees, and Matt Ryan. His quarterback rating was 103.7, nearly 10 points higher than his career average of 94.2.
Newton went on to finish the 2018 season as the QB14 in fantasy, but with his impressive play from Weeks 1-12, he was looked at in fantasy circles as an ideal bounce-back candidate for 2019. It just never happened.
He played two games, threw for 572 yards with 0 TDs, and an interception; ending his stoic Panthers career with a thud. He later went on injured reserve with multiple operations on his right shoulder and left foot.
Again, with the caveat that Newton is healthy, Newton has the chance to thrive in Josh McDaniels’ quick-decision, run-heavy offense.
The Patriots feature multiple running backs in Sony Michel, James White and Rex Burkhead, as well as an excellent slot receiver in Julian Edelman; who has seen an average of 154 targets in seasons where he’s played all 16 games. If Newton can regain his 2018 completion percentage (67.9%), by far the highest of his career, he should get in sync with Edelman rather quickly
New England also spent a first-round pick two seasons ago on receiver N’Keal Harry, who struggled to find any consistency in his rookie season. Even before the Patriots signed Newton, Harry was one of SI Fantasy analyst Matt De Lima’s late-round fliers heading into 2020.
One area both Tom Brady and Newton share is their ability to convert on quarterback sneaks. Back in October of 2019, Nora Princiotti of the Boston Globe discussed the Patriots’ affinity to sneak the ball at the highest rate in the NFL:
“Since 2015, (Brady) has rushed with 3 or fewer yards to go a total of 38 times, behind only Carolina’s Cam Newton (101 attempts) and the Chargers’ Tyrod Taylor (39) among quarterbacks. Brady has converted 84 percent of those attempts, to Newton’s 83 percent and Taylor’s 62 percent.”
At the moment, Newton was being drafted as the QB36, or at position 292 in fantasy drafts. In essence, he wasn’t being signed unless you were in a two-quarterback league, or perhaps a deep 14 or 16-team league.
That obviously changes now that he’s in New England.
My expectation is Newton moves from QB36 up to as high as QB20, currently occupied by Philip Rivers of the Colts. He should land somewhere in the QB20-25 range, surrounded by the likes of Drew Lock, Sam Darnold, Jimmy Garoppolo, and Kirk Cousins.
In a matter of hours, Cam Newton will have gone from an undrafted fantasy free agent to a late-round flier pick with upside. The hype is very much real now that New England has an answer at their most important position.
Signing free-agent quarterback Cam Newton wasn't another nefarious move by the Patriots, it was just common sense.
Cam Newton may end up being one of the most uniquely challenging players to defend in modern NFL history, and so it makes perfect sense that, upon his release from the
Carolina Panthers back in March, 31 NFL teams sat on their hands while the New England Patriots drummed up their due diligence and signed him for peanuts to replace Tom Brady.Sometimes we build up the mystique of the Bill Belichick dynasty into something that is beyond our comprehension, and, sure, there are some black ops elements to this team that will never see the light of day. But what the Patriots do better than anyone else is see and acquire value, regardless of what their plans are. They have always done this, to the point that when a talented but, for some reason, difficult to employ player emerges on the market, his move to New England seems like a formality.
The question this time, though, is how the hell the rest of the league let this happen. Newton is just 31 years old. He piloted offenses with mediocre talent to the height of the sport. He will instantly diversify a Patriots scheme that no one could stop for the better part of two decades whilst piloted by an immobile vitamin salesman.
Perhaps there is a comfort from other teams, especially in the AFC East, in being routinely flogged by the Patriots. Maybe they thought that defending Jarrett Stidham would be too easy. It’s the only way to explain this constant inability to escape their comfort zone or apply a little situational tradecraft to a given situation.
You’ll counter this point by saying that no one knew how healthy Newton was given that he underwent Lisfranc surgery at the end of 2019 and shoulder surgery the year before that. And to that, I’ll say it doesn’t matter. Nevermind the fact that Newton has been showcasing feats of superhuman ability on his Instagram account on a regular basis that should have, at the very least, elicited some curiosity from the quarterback-needy teams of the NFL. Even if it took Newton half of the 2020 season to recover—you know, the 2020 season that will probably not start on time to begin with—he would be an appreciating asset. Nursing him back to health before the trade deadline would be like buying in on Amazon while it was still being run from a garage.
People have solidified their own opinions on the Patriots through the years (and through countless NFL investigations). It is no surprise that the news of Newton’s signing was broken concurrent with the penalties the organization sustained for illegally filming the sideline of a Bengals game last year. These are not unintelligent people unfamiliar with the Way Things Work.
But having the common sense to sign Cam Newton isn’t cheating. It’s not nefarious. It doesn’t require the shadowy existence of a humorously named football deflator or Bostonian-accented cameraman who sounds like an extra from The Departed. This was common sense. This was so insanely obvious.
Every team that loses to Newton and the Patriots in 2020 deserves this. Every team that is bested by a draft pick that Belichick accrues from this signing deserves this. Every team that did not see this coming deserves this.
• Question or comment? Email us.
The New England Patriots' signing of Cam Newton sent shockwaves around the football world, and players around the league were quick to react.
The New England Patriots stole the headlines Sunday night by
signing quarterback Cam Newton to a one-year deal worth up to $7.5 million. Newton played just two games last season, but, if healthy, appears poised to replace Tom Brady under center.The news caught the football world off guard, and there were plenty of reactions to the the former league MVP teaming up with Bill Belichick. Check out the best of the bunch below:
The NFL will reportedly fine the Patriots $1.1 million and dock a 2021 third-round pick as a result of New England's illegal videotaping of the Cincinnati Bengals in 2019.
The NFL has reportedly handed down its punishment to the New England Patriots after the team was caught illegally videotaping the Cincinnati Bengals' sideline during a game in December.
The
league has fined New England $1.1 million, docked a third-round pick in 2021 and barred the team's TV crews from shooting games during the 2020 season, according to ESPN's Adam Schefter.The punishments stem from a Patriots staffer filming the Bengals' sidelines during the first quarter of Cincinnati's game against the Cleveland Browns on Dec. 8. The Patriots released a statement the following day, saying the employee was filming an episode of the team's "Do Your Job" series for Patriots.com, focusing on the role of an advance scout.
"The sole purpose of the filming was to provide an illustration of an advance scout at work on the road," the statement read. "There was no intention of using the footage for any other purpose. We understand and acknowledge that our video crew, which included independent contractors who shot the video, unknowingly violated a league policy by filming the field and sideline from the press box.
"When questioned, the crew immediately turned over all the footage to the league and cooperated fully… We accept full responsibility for the actions of our production crew at the Browns-Bengals game."
The Patriots will not contest the league's penalties, per ESPN's Mike Reiss.
Former NFL MVP Cam Newton will reportedly be in the mix to replace Tom Brady in New England.
Free-agent quarterback
Cam Newton has reached an agreement on a one-year, "incentive-laden" deal with the New England Patriots, according to ESPN's Adam Schefter and Chris Mortensen. The contract is worth up to $7.5 million, per NFL Network's Ian Rapoport.Discussions between Newton and the Patriots have been quietly "in the works," according to Rapoport. With the signing, New England now has three quarterbacks who will compete to replace former Patriot Tom Brady: Newton, Jarrett Stidham and Brian Hoyer. Newton will be in "the mix" to take the place of Brady in the starting slot, per Schefter and Mortensen.
Newton, 31, entered the free-agent market in March when he was released from the Carolina Panthers. He spent nine seasons with the team after being selected with the No. 1 overall pick in 2011 and went on to become the second African-American quarterback to win MVP in NFL history, following Steve McNair, for the 2015 season.
According to ESPN, it has been unclear whether Newton would be open to taking a backup quarterback job. He had been rumored to have discussions with the Patriots earlier during free agency, but nothing had materialized.
Newton missed 14 games during the 2019 season with a Lisfranc injury in his left foot and underwent surgery in December. He previously underwent surgery for a shoulder injury that caused him to miss the final two games of the 2018 season.
Brady announced in April he had decided to leave the Patriots after winning six Super Bowl championships with the team. Soon after, he reached a two-year, $50 million deal to join the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
Prior to Newton's signing, the Patriots had reached an agreement with Hoyer in March, while the team drafted Stidham in 2019.